June 2, 2007

The Best of Days in the Worst of Times

The Braves notched a big win in the series opener at Chicago. Extra big really, since the Mets, Phillies, Marlins and Nats all took the short end in their games Friday. Davies looked good this time out, though its not a high hurdle when one is facing a line-up as in disarray as this Cubbies group. He surrendered only one earned run over 7. More shockingly though, he notched 3 hits on the day. This from a guy with only 5 in his big-league career.

Zambrano had one of his worst outings ever, as every one of the Braves starters had a hit. In fact, only Andruw and Willie C. failed to garner an rbi or a run scored. The 8-5 final does not reveal how bad Zambrano, and the Chicago pen, looked. The Braves plated 8, but stranded 23 more baserunners. Impressive, yet worrisome. Once again, Andruw fails to do what we need him to do at the plate. Meanwhile, Chipper finally went on the DL. At best, he’ll be back to finish the Cubs series in Atlanta next weekend. But I doubt it.

The event that garnered the most attention league-wide occurred in the Cubs dugout, when the stating battery, Zambrano and Barrett, brawled out of mutual frustration. Carlos was PO’d because with 2 outs and Davies batting, Barrett allowed one run to score on a passed ball and a wild throw trying to get Thorman at third. Davies and KJ then jumped on the upset Zambrano with back-to-back rbi doubles. Fun stuff. Oh, and to rub salt in the wound- a Brave-o-Matic Happy Birthday to …… Carlos Zambrano, who turned 26 on Friday.

This afternoon will see the very evenly matched lefties, Rich Hill and Chuck James face off. And Bobby once again will seek the all-time ejection record. Go Braves. Give ‘em hell, Bobby.

June 1, 2007

Jeff Passan excerpt from yahoosports

All-Overpaid

C: Jason Kendall, Oakland, $13.43 million – Might as well start with the worst contract in all of baseball. How Kendall parlayed 55 home runs and decent peripherals into a six-year, $60 million deal from Pittsburgh before the 2002 season is mystifying. Even though the Pirates are paying $5.5 million of Kendall’s salary, Oakland is shoveling nearly $8 million toward a .182 hitter with two extra-base hits (both doubles) in 165 at-bats.

1B: Carlos Delgado, New York Mets, $14.5 million – Yes, he’s heating up. Two home runs Saturday and Tuesday give him seven this season. And yet even with Delgado’s surge, his slugging percentage is under .400 and his on-base percentage hovering around .300. This could just as easily have been Seattle’s Richie Sexson, who is hitting .199, getting on base less than 30 percent of the time and making $15.5 million.

2B: Craig Biggio, Houston, $5.15 million – His march to 3,000 hits has turned into a waterless crawl across the Gobi. Biggio is hitting .207 in May, including one hit in his last 16 at-bats. In the Baseball Prospectus metric Fielding Runs Above Average, which measures players defensively against their peers, Biggio is minus-5, among the worst at his position in the game. Biggio was a great player. Biggio will be a Hall of Famer. Right now, Biggio isn’t worth much at all.

SS: Julio Lugo, Boston, $8.25 million – To bat No. 1 in the powerful Red Sox lineup – the one that ranks third in the major leagues in scoring – and have only 26 runs through 48 games is embarrassing. Lugo can run (15 stolen bases) and field (though not as well as the man he replaced, Alex Gonzalez), but his inability to get on base has prevented the Red Sox from dominating even more than they already have.

3B: Scott Rolen, St. Louis, $12.31 million – Take away Rolen’s 5-for-6 game April 22 and he’s hitting .207 with one home run and 16 RBIs. A horrible skid at the end of April bled into May, and Rolen really hasn’t recovered, as his .665 OPS (on-base-plus slugging) ranks 152nd of 179 players that qualify.

OF: Garret Anderson, Los Angeles Angels, $11.6 million – Years of wear and tear have rendered Anderson punchless. Never one to draw a walk, Anderson has done just that this year: taken a single walk among 95 at-bats, as large a sign as any of his strain to hit. He hasn’t done that, either, with only one home run. The saddest part: All of his at-bats this year have come from the Angels’ cleanup spot.

OF: Bobby Abreu, New York Yankees, $15 million – Finally, the Abreu envisioned by Tampa Bay when it traded him for Kevin Stocker shows up. In nearly 200 at-bats, Abreu has eight extra-base hits. After eight consecutive seasons drawing 100-plus walks, he’ll be lucky if he gets to 75 this year. To put it succinctly: Abreu’s Value Over Replacement Player is minus-4.2, which means that a complete scrub would have been of more value to the Yankees thus far.

OF: J.D. Drew, Boston, $14.4 million – And to think, the Red Sox are on the hook for four more years of this. Drew’s batting average has vacillated between awful and abysmal, he left any semblance of power back in Los Angeles and, if not for the Red Sox’s dominance, he’d be hearing boos all the way from Maine.

DH: Shea Hillenbrand, Los Angeles Angels, $6 million – Complete and utter dead weight, Hillenbrand hasn’t hit, is embarrassing in the field and seems contractually obligated not to take a walk. There are higher-paid designated hitters performing poorly, but no one is as bad as Hillenbrand.

SP: Carl Pavano, New York Yankees, $10 million – Captain Carl earned stewardship of this illustrious bunch by winning a total of five games over the life of his four-year, $39.5 million deal. He’ll soon undergo Tommy John surgery, which will keep him out until at least the middle of next season and allow him to attend his induction into the Bad Contract Hall of Fame, where he’ll be joined by Darren Dreifort and Chan Ho Park.

SP: Barry Zito, San Francisco, $10 million – Next year it’s $14.5 million. Then three years at $18.5 million. And then $19 million. And finally $20 million. We might as well save a seat, because 30 walks and 32 strikeouts in 61 1/3 innings does not portend good things.

SP: Matt Clement, Boston, $9.5 million – Like Pavano, only he pitched for a year and a half. Most notable for having been tagged with the nickname “HazMatt.” About as likely to wear a Red Sox uniform again as Ted Williams.

SP: Jeff Weaver, Seattle, $8.33 million – Welcome back! Weaver is the lone returnee from last year’s team. Somehow he hoodwinked the Mariners into paying him the same salary the Angels wasted last year before Weaver somehow turned into a postseason savior for St. Louis. Well, the carriage is a pumpkin again, and Weaver is 0-6 with a 14.32 earned-run average and on the disabled list for the first time in his nine-year career.

SP: Mike Hampton, Atlanta, $14.5 million – Quite a year for Hampton. After missing 2006 recovering from Tommy John surgery, he hurt his oblique during spring training. Then, during a rehabilitation session, he tore the flexor tendon in his left elbow and will miss the rest of this year. Added bonus: His salary jumps to $15 million next year, and the Braves will have to spend another $6 million in ‘09 to buy him out of a $20 million option. Mr. Hampton, we’ll keep your seat warm, too.

RP: Armando Benitez, Florida, $9.7 million – Benitez blew a game last week. He gave up two runs in a 5-3 loss. Afterward, he said: “I’m doing my job.” Just to repeat, he makes $9.7 million.

RP: Danys Baez, Baltimore $5.67 million – Part of the Orioles’ effort to rebuild their bullpen, Baez has been relegated to mop-up duty after giving up runs in six of his last seven outings. With an 0-4 record and 6.35 ERA, Baez looks more like a Baltimore reliever, circa ‘06.

RP: B.J. Ryan, Toronto, $7 million – Ryan was a bargain. Then he blew out his left elbow. Now he’s not.

RP: Scott Eyre, Chicago Cubs, $3.83 million – What is worse: Eyre allowing 41 baserunners in 16 1/3 innings this season or Cubs manager Lou Piniella trotting him again and again only to see him fail?

All-Underpaid

C: Mike Redmond, Minnesota, $950,000 – Filling in for the injured Joe Mauer, Redmond has hit well (a major-league-leading .412 with two strikes) and been excellent behind the plate (catching 47 percent of attempted stolen bases). When Mauer does return, Redmond will resume his part-time duties as catcher and DH, looking to hit over .300 for the third consecutive year and seventh time in 10 seasons.

1B: Carlos Peña, Tampa Bay, $800,000 – Few remember that Peña hit 27 home runs with Detroit in 2004. He lost his job midway through the next season to Chris Shelton and got only 33 at-bats last year with the Red Sox. An afterthought headed into the spring, Peña is tied for sixth in the American League with 10 home runs and is behind only Jack Cust and Alex Rodriguez in at-bats per home run.

2B: Placido Polanco, Detroit, $4.6 million – Among players with at least 175 plate appearances, Polanco’s eight strikeouts are the fewest. The corollary is his alarmingly low walk rate, though when you’re hitting .328, its consequences are not quite as drastic. Perhaps the most amazing number is Polanco’s batting average when faced with an 0-2 count: .405.

SS: Jose Reyes, New York Mets, $2.88 million – OK, so maybe this is cheating a little. The Mets locked the 23-year-old Reyes up through all three of his arbitration years, plus his first free-agent season, at a closeout price of $23.25 million. (And they’ve got an $11 million option for 2011, too.) For that they get the most exciting player in the game, one who leads baseball with 28 stolen bases, has smacked 23 extra-base hits and sparkles in the field to boot.

3B: David Wright, New York Mets, $1.25 million – For these two deals alone Mets general manager Omar Minaya deserves a contract extension. Wright is actually still a pre-arbitration player, though he forfeited that for a six-year, $55 million that starts him off at a pittance this year. Following a miserable April, Wright has hammered eight home runs, slugged .615 and stolen seven bases in May. And he’s just 24.

OF: Grady Sizemore, Cleveland, $916,667 – Same scenario for Sizemore, who snagged a six-year deal before he had two full years in the major leagues. Though his numbers tapered off in May, Sizemore still has a .400 on-base percentage, eight home runs and 16 stolen bases in Cleveland’s leadoff spot. Eventually, he’ll drop down to No. 3 in the lineup, and his RBIs will catch up to – if not exceed – his runs scored.

OF: Matt Holliday, Colorado, $4.4 million – There might not be a better pure hitter than the 27-year-old Holliday, who leads the major leagues with 71 hits and is third in the National League with a .341 batting average. He’s third in RBIs, fourth in slugging percentage, fourth in OPS and seemingly impervious to the humidor.

OF: Aaron Rowand, Philadelphia, $4.35 million – Healthy again, Rowand is nearly duplicating the numbers of his career year in 2004. Already, in half as many plate appearances, Rowand has matched his 18 walks from last season. And with his .325 batting average and superlative defense in center field, he’s making himself plenty of money as free agency looms following this year.

DH: Sammy Sosa, Texas, $500,000 – Uncle. There’s been so much noise from people looking for Sammy to get some credit that it sounds more like Sousa than Sosa. He may be fake. He may be disingenuous. But the man is a bargain. Even if his on-base percentage stinks, Sosa’s run production – 12 doubles, 10 home runs and 39 RBIs – makes up for it.

SP: Jake Peavy, San Diego, $4.75 million – Peavy would be a bargain at three times his salary. His 1.47 ERA is a quarter-run better than the next-best starter, his 85 strikeouts are third in the major leagues and his opponents’ OPS is an unfathomable .476.

SP: Chris Young, San Diego, $750,000 – Perhaps the best trade of the decade brought Young, outfielder Terrmel Sledge and first baseman Adrian Gonzalez – who would have been just as good a choice as Carlos Peña – to the Padres for Akinori Otsuka and Adam Eaton. The 6-foot-10 Young, who spent his college career playing basketball at Princeton, is only getting better: Opponents are hitting just .214 against him.

SP: Tim Hudson and John Smoltz, Atlanta, $8.5 million and $8 million – Take your pick. Hudson’s ERA is 2.79, Smoltz’s 2.83. Hudson has allowed 84 baserunners in 77 1/3 innings. Smoltz, at 40, is averaging nearly eight strikeouts per nine innings. Both are cut-rate for established All-Stars.

SP: John Lackey, Los Angeles Angels, $5.3 million – The big kid who won Game 7 of the World Series at 23 years old has grown into the Angels’ 28-year-old ace. He leads the AL with eight wins, ranks third with a 2.36 ERA and strikes out three batters for every one he walks.

SP: Dan Haren, Oakland, $2.25 million – The best pitcher in the AL this season, and it’s not even close. His 1.70 ERA is a half-run better than the next best, teammate Chad Gaudin, who would have been the next starter on this team with a $400,000 salary. Haren has allowed just 49 hits in 74 1/3 innings, and his 10 quality starts (out of 11 total) are tied with Peavy and Smoltz for the most in baseball.

RP: Takashi Saito, Los Angeles Dodgers, $1 million – Welcome back! Unlike with Weaver, it’s a privilege to join this team for the second consecutive season. After making $500,000 last season, striking out 107 in 78 1/3 innings and taking over the Dodgers’ closer job, Saito has been even better this year: 22 innings, two walks, 26 strikeouts, a 1.64 ERA and 15 for 15 in save opportunities.

RP: Al Reyes, Tampa Bay, $750,000 – A scrap-heap pickup – he was signed to a minor-league deal the same day as Gary Glover and Jason Grabowski – Reyes won a job in the Devil Rays’ bullpen and quickly proved himself their most competent reliever. Now, with bullpen help needed all over the game, Tampa Bay will have a nice trading chip come July, so long as Reyes can continue keeping hitters to a .141 batting average and striking out more than one an inning.

RP: J.J. Putz, Seattle, $2.7 million – So much for those possible arm troubles during spring training. Putz has allowed just 14 baserunners in 21 2/3 innings, struck out 20 and hasn’t blown a save in 12 chances, the punctuation mark on a bullpen that features the underrated George Sherrill, Eric O’Flaherty and rookie Brandon Morrow.

RP: Ryan Franklin, St. Louis, $1 million – Franklin’s career had spiraled after a positive steroid test when something happened on the way to the gutter. He has walked two batters in 19 2/3 innings, limited hitters to a .186 batting average, posted a 0.92 ERA and become so indispensable as a setup man that Cardinals manager Tony La Russa declined to move Franklin – for almost his entire career a starter – into the rotation despite an open spot.

May 31, 2007

Braves Bats Gone Wild

Well, for one big, exciting inning anyway. A thrilling 8th inning display that saw 12 Braves bat and 3 Brewers pitch (poorly). It left me wondering what is the record for most batters in an inning without anyone getting more than one hit. Diaz, KJ and Willie C. all batted twice, but KJ, with a walk and a single, was the only one to reach base both times.

Up till then though, we’d done little against Bush, save the solo homer by KJ- 6 hits, stranding everyone who didn’t go yard. And, except for the 8th, Francoeur was the only hitter besides KJ, Willie and Renteria to get a hit. That’s not good.

The Braves rest tonight as they travel up to the Windy City. Saturday we’ll find out whether Chipper plays or goes on the DL. The decision will have a big effect on where this team stands at the All-Star break.

And for the wiener race afficionados amoungst us- Braves assistant clubhouse manager Chris Van Zant ran as the Hot Dog in the Sausage race last night and took third place.

May 30, 2007

Time to Panic? Some say “Yes”

Chipper misses his 6th straight game. Smoltz takes himself out in the 4th after hurting his pinkie again and experiencing arm pain. Braves lose again. Mets win again. So I ask- Is it now time for Braves fans to panic?

Among those who answer “Yes” to the subject query are the little voices that live in my head. We knew that Chipper was injury-prone. And now he is injured. We knew Smoltz was old and oft-repaired. And once again, he appears hurt. We no longer seem to have the home run threat and we now have only ONE dependable starter. If the Braves are going to keep this race close, its time for the younger guys to reach for the spotlight.

I’m not saying the Braves are doomed. I’m just saying the game is now alot tougher than it appeared a week or 2 ago. Andruw has to start displaying a more controlled swing. Francoeur needs to take a pitch. Thorman needs to learn to hit righties with something other than a dead pull.

But there are positives to build on. Willie C. and Edgar are stepping up to the plate in a big way. If Andruw starts hitting- or Chipper returns- then Willie and Edgar will be crossing the plate liberally.  Each is on base multiple times every day. Cormier (remember him?) will be back next week. Smoltz says he will be too. And Hudson is going today. And after Huddy wins today, 7 of the next 11 are against the grossly under-achieving Cubbies. So it could be worse.

That said, I’m just not convinced that the Braves will make the most of what they have available. Instead, I expect to continue seeing alot of stranded baserunners while we hope for any given pitcher to just hold on till we can muster a big homerun. A homerun that has been lacking of late.

May 29, 2007

Chipper: To Be or To Be DL’d?

Chipper has now missed 5 games with a “bruised” hand from his face plant manuever a few weeks back. Every day we get the report, as we do today, that Chipper might be in the line-up tonight. Then he tries swinging a bat, grimices and sits down. Chipper’s big problem is that he holds his bat so far down that his palm encloses the knob. With a severly bruised palm, this is the worst possible way to grip the bat, as any generation of power would leave him on the ground in pain.

Tonight I expect to see the Braves make a decision. Either Chipper plays or he hits the DL. And that’s not good. With Andruw barely above the Mendoza line, Edgar has to be the big hitter in the line-up. That won’t get us where we need to be. Especially now that Francoeur has reverted to his swing-at-every-first-pitch routine. At least we have Smoltz and Hudson up next. But we need Chipper’s bat back in a big, big way.

 UPDATE: Scratch what I said about having Smoltz to count on. Things just got real bad real fast.

May 29, 2007

Skip’s Sense of Humor

During last Sunday’s TBS broadcast, there was a curious exchange between Chip and Skip. It happened just after the revelation of that day’s AFLAC trivia question, when Chip mentioned that producer Glen Diamond would be providing the trivia question for the following day’s broadcast. Skip’s reply was (paraphrasing):

“Well, we know the answer will be Hank Greenberg.”

Father and son were both helpless for the remainder of the half-inning, except to wonder whether Skip would ever be invited back to the booth. There’s nothing inherently funny about that line, and so their subsequent behavior made it fairly clear to me that Skip was engaging in some back-of-the-classroom wisecracking about the religious angle. I have no idea whether or not Glen Diamond is Jewish, but no other explanation that I can come up with makes any sense.

Ever since that day, every Braves broadcast which has included Chip has included a Hank Greenberg mention in some form or fashion. Have you noticed that? It sounds to me like he’s covering for dad — by flooding the broadcasts with Greenberg references, I believe he’s creating an alibi after the fact, jamming the frequency with background interference, just in case someone was offended.

To be clear, I’m not offended. I’m not easily offended by nature, nor am I particularly given to taking offense on someone else’s behalf. But there’s little doubt in my mind that Skip was skirting the boundaries of appropriateness just to be a rascal. I do think it’s pathetic in this day and age that saying “he’s Jewish” suffices as a punch line, but I’ve witnessed it before, and not too long ago. I like Skip, but our evolving culture is leaving him behind. That’s okay with me, and probably with him too.  See ya at the club, eh, Skip?

May 27, 2007

Minor League Notes

Richmond Braves (
Atlanta Braves)

THE WEEK IN REVIEW: The R-Braves went 4-3 last week to move to 27-12 overall, good for first place in the South Division. The team with the best record in the IL is 10 games in front of second-place
Durham.
WHO’S HOT AND WHO’S NOT: IF Yunel Escobar has hit .351 in his last 10 games with five RBIs and three runs scored. … R-Braves catchers have struggled at the plate recently with Corky Miller (.188), Iker Franco (.000) and Brayan Pena (.000) combining to bat .091 in the last 10 contests. JUST FOR STARTERS: It’s not hard to figure out why
Richmond leads the IL with a 2.72 ERA. Starters Trey Hodges (2.06) and Buddy Carlyle (2.22) both rank among the IL leaders, while Anthony Lerew (1.37) and Kevin Barry (2.70) also would place among the leaders if they pitched enough innings.
QUOTE OF THE WEEK: “I stood there waiting, and the manager said, ‘Sit down.’ I knew something was up.” –R-Braves 1B Graham Koonce told the Richmond Times-Dispatch. The “something” was Koonce being traded from Omaha to
Richmond; in his first 10 games with the R-Braves, he has hit .258 with five homers, 10 RBIs and six runs scored.
Mississippi Braves (Atlanta Braves)
THE WEEK THAT WAS: The Braves (29-14) led the South Division by five games over
Jacksonville after a 5-2 week. They are 9-1 against
Birmingham this season.
WHO’S HOT, WHO’S NOT: OF Carl Loadenthal’s hitting streak came to an end at a team-record 20 games in the series finale at Birmingham, but he did steal his league-leading 13th base. A .333 May raised his average to .291. . . . OF Matt Esquivel had two homers and nine RBIs during the week, as his league-leading totals rose to 11 and 37. PLAYER TO WATCH: 2B J.C. Holt, batting .365, continued his hot hitting despite missing more than three weeks because of a strained hamstring. The former LSU standout hit .341 in his first 10 games back after batting .394 in the first eight games of the season. He had six stolen bases. With Holt’s return, 2B Diory Hernandez was sent to Class A Myrtle Beach, despite hitting .323 with three homers and 16 RBIs in 25 games. PERFORMANCE OF THE WEEK: LHP Dan Smith allowed five hits without a walk over seven innings, improving to 4-2 and lowering his ERA to 1.97 with a 7-0 victory over
Birmingham. He had been 0-1 with two no-decisions in his previous three starts. Opponents were batting just .205. The 23-year-old wasn’t drafted, but has been dominant since moving to the
Mississippi rotation late last season.
Myrtle Beach Pelicans (Atlanta Braves)
THE WEEK THAT WAS: The Pelicans lost three of their first four games, dropping the finale versus Frederick before winning only the lidlifter of a three-game set at Potomac. Myrtle Beach ended the week with two wins in three tries at
Wilmington. Moises Hernandez picked up two of the Pelicans’ three victories while Kevin Gunderson earned the save in both of Hernandez’s triumphs.
WHO’S HOT: Hernandez picked up two wins last week despite not having his best stuff. The older brother of Seattle pitcher Felix Hernandez, the right-hander surrendered four earned runs to both Potomac and
Wilmington, but benefited from rare offensive support to improve to 6-2 on the season. Hernandez has pitched into the sixth inning in six of his nine starts and twirled at least five frames in all but one outing. Part of the offensive assistance came from 2B Diory Hernandez (no relation), who has continued to hit at an unprecedented personal rate this season. Demoted from Double-A Mississippi on May 11, Hernandez was 9-for-25 with six RBIs in his last six games through May 19.
WHO’S NOT: Regardless of whether he’s been announced as Jairo or J.C. Cuevas, neither name has produced much success. Cuevas fell to 0-6 on the season and did not make it out of the second inning in a 10-2 loss to
Wilmington on May 18. He allowed five runs, five hits and four walks with no strikeouts. The Pelicans are now 0-8 in games Cuevas has started.
UNSTEADY STEVENS: Jake Stevens has made vast improvements over the past two years, but the left-hander continues to provide the Pelicans with uneven performances. On Wednesday, he allowed seven runs on seven hits and two walks over two innings to suffer his third setback in six decisions during a 12-0 loss to
Potomac on May 16.
PARR-EXCELLECE: James Parr fanned a career-high 12 batters and posted his first complete-game shutout as a professional in the Pelicans’ 4-0 win over
Wilmington on Thursday, May 17. Parr had 10 strikeouts in the first five innings and limited the Blue Rocks to only three hits. He did not walk a batter. After surrendering a single to Brett Bigler in the third, Parr retired the next 17 hitters.
MAKING WAVES: The Pelicans made three moves on Friday while in the midst of a road trip. OF Matt Young was activated from the disabled list after being sidelined since April 17 with a torn left thumb ligament. Right-handed reliever Tyler Bullock was promoted to Double-A Mississippi, while left-hander Beau Jones was called up from Class A Rome to fill Bullock’s roster spot.

May 26, 2007

BP on Braves transactions

Optioned C-S Brayan Pena to Richmond (Triple-A); activated LHP Mark Redman from the 15-day DL. [5/18]
Placed RHP Anthony Lerew on the 15-day DL; recalled 2B-R Martin Prado from Richmond. [5/20]
Released LHP Mark Redman; recalled RHP Joey Devine from Mississippi (Double-A). [5/22]

There’s a couple of interesting things in play here. First, it seems as if three quality starts from Kyle Davies in his last four has helped shore up his status in the rotation, encouraging the Braves to dispense with Redman’s gray gravitas after his first healthy-toe start didn’t turn out any better than his pre-DL outings had. So, if Davies has given them the confidence to count on him, that allows the Braves to go back to experimenting with the rotation slot that really still sits empty since Mike Hampton’s latest meltdown. Lerew may not get much considerations—although he gave the team a quality start in his debut before getting smacked around in his next two, it’s come to light that he’s been pitching with a sore elbow he’d neglected to mention to anybody for the last month, never a good way to win friends and influence people. There’s some speculation he may not be back this season, instead going back down to Richmond once he’s healthy. That throws things relatively wide open—come Saturday, they’ll turn to journeyman Buddy Carlyle on the basis of his hot start, but they gave some thought to one of the prospects shining down in Double-A. Organizational soldier Trey Hodges also rated mention, because of decent start to his season, but I figure the 20 walks in 25 innings is a convincing deterrent. There’s also a rehabbing Lance Cormier to consider, and should Carlyle falter, he’s probably seen as next in line. Again, this is the fifth slot, and if Davies continues to reward the club’s confidence in him, they may be able to sit pretty and skip looking for starting help at the deadline.

Keeping Salty up instead of Pena is an interesting development, one that might make you wonder how he’s going to get playing time watching Brian McCann soak up most of the playing time behind the plate. That’s where last week’s release of Craig Wilson telegraphs what appears to be the intention—Saltalamacchia is going to end up playing some first base, providing Scott Thorman with an erstwhile platoon partner. It won’t be a strict platoon—Thorman doesn’t have to be hidden from every lefty, and Salty will still have his catching duties to attend to. Basically, it’s a decision that puts the best possible talent on the roster, gives them a catcher worth playing in case McCann needs a rest, and gives Salty a chance to contribute to a contender in a secondary role. That preps him for more regular work in case anything serious happens to McCann, while also showcasing him.

As for Devine’s promotion, we’ll have to see if it sticks. He’s been very hot lately, throwing scoreless outings 12 of his last 13 times out, with eight hits and four walks in 13.1 innings, while striking out 16. He’s also showing a major platoon split so far, and while that doesn’t bode well for any immediate bid to renew his claim on “closer of the future” cachet, it might make Peter Moylan nervous about his job security as a designated ROOGY (or, as John Sickels coined it, a Righty One-Out GuY). Generating almost twice as many grounders as flyball outs is a great way to make yourself popular, and with both Oscar Villarreal and Chad Paronto both struggling in low-leverage roles, it isn’t like there aren’t candidates to be shunted aside should Devine make a good initial impression. The NL East has it’s share of righty-heavy lineups, as the Phillies, Fish, and Mets all lean pretty heavily that way, which makes a guy who can overpower right-handed bats especially valuable to the Braves. We’ll see if Devine rises to this challenge.

May 26, 2007

name what’s missing in this picture

Top 5 2007 NL Center Fielders, by VORP

Player, Team, EqA, VORP

Aaron Rowand, PHI, .320, 19.1
Carlos Beltran, NYN, .317, 18.2
Hunter Pence, HOU, .342, 11.0
Ryan Church, WAS, .298, 9.8
Josh Hamilton, CIN, .286, 8.0

May 25, 2007

Congrats to Smoltzie

Kind of hard to believe it took 20 years, but Smoltz joined the 200 win club tonight with yet another dominant performance. Lots of icing on this cake, too — it came against our bitter rivals, gave us a badly needed series win, and he bested his old buddy Tom Glavine. I couldn’t watch the ninth inning, as usual — we came perilously close to blowing it. Much better that it happened tonight than at Milwaukee next week.

May 23, 2007

More Gruel from Oliver

“Please, sir, can we not have any more?”

No truth to the rumor that these were Bobby’s words as he turned in our “white flag” lineup card for this game, but they might as well have been. He artfully dodged any chance at victory with the Woodward-Prado combination — not that they didn’t have help in their ineptitude, as our 3-6 hitters went one for 14. That little dickens Perez has us in a twist, that’s for sure.

I’m assuming that, with Glavine and Moyer starting the next two games against us, Bobby went with the righty lineup against the one true sidewinding lefty.

2007 LHH vs. Perez, Glavine, Moyer

Perez — .222/.282/.250
Glavine — .354/.436/.604
Moyer — .289/.326/.553

Bobby preaches series wins, so all our eggs are in the Smoltz/Glavine matchup basket tomorrow.

May 23, 2007

A Rotation in Disarray

Can the Braves win a pennant without a 5th starter? That seems to be the situation thus far into 2007. The latest turns include Lerew heading to the DL, followed quickly by the merciful, outright release of Redman. Done. Gone. Enjoy the money and have thanks for nothing Mr. 11.63 era. Enter, once again, Joey Devine. Last seen tossing the last pitch of the 2006 season. The one that Burks took deep in the 18th inning.

But Devine is just visiting Atlanta because he can get here quickly. This weekend he’ll head back for the minor league seasoning he still needs and give way to Trey Hodges or Buddy Carlyle from Richmond. Everybody gets 2 starts to show what they’ve got and then its on to the next contestant.

Will either of these AAA talents stick? Who knows. I’d say neither is as good as Davies or Chuck James, who are each fairly good. A good, solid outing followed by mediocrity. If the Braves are going to win the division, the bats will have to cover up for the weaknesses at the back-end of our rotation. T.P., please get Andruw’s swing under control. If not, we cannot keep up to the Mets pace.

May 22, 2007

Davies Works Out the Kinks

What a revelation was Kyle Davies in this game! Finally able to harness his fastball, he carved up the Metropolitans for eight innings, and topped it off with a monster 3-run HR off professional long reliever Aaron Sele to lead the Braves to a gloriously satisfying 8-1 win to begin a series that was looking ominous after some of our recent performances.

One theme I’ve noticed in the coverage of Davies’ starts is the expressed importance that he keep his fastball down and spot it correctly — the theory being that his heater lacks movement and is easy to hit out of the park if it stays high. It seems to me, though, that he actually needs to throw high fastballs for strikes, as he can then use his big-breaking curve to play off it. That was certainly his Rx tonight. He probably has a smaller margin for error with this approach, but now is not the moment to overanalyze.

Combine Davies’ effort with Andruw showing a bit of humility in his batting approach (getting on base three times as a result), and the news that Mark Redman was granted his unconditional (I presume — maybe we bought him a bagel) release, and this was a fine day to be a Braves fan.

P.S.  We’d heard some recent rumors that Jorge Sosa had gotten his career back on track with the Mets.  Looked like the same old George tonight.

P.P.S.  Other than to congratulate Smoltzie on another dominant performance, we’re glossing over the Red Sox series here at the ‘Matic — hope that’s okay.

May 19, 2007

James Parr’s best by far (5/17 results)

–  Batters –

ORG LVL PLAYER                         AB  R  H  BI
ATL AAA Escobar, Yunel SS  ……….   3  0  1  1  .329 – 3B (3)
ATL AA  Holt, J.C. 2B  …………..   4  1  2  1  .379
ATL AA  Jones, Brandon LF  ……….   4  0  3  1  .297
ATL AA  Lillibridge, Brent SS  ……   3  0  2  0  .277
ATL HiA Andrus, Elvis SS  ………..   4  1  1  0  .238 – SB (8)

–  Pitchers –

ORG LVL PITCHER                         IP  H  R  ER  BB  SO  ERA
ATL AA  Devine, Joey  …………..   1.0  0  0   0   0   1  1.77 – W (2-2)
ATL AA  Harrison, Matt  …………   5.2  6  2   2   3   4  3.04
ATL HiA Parr, James  ……………   9.0  3  0   0   0  12  3.18 – W (3-4)

May 18, 2007

Lets Play Two!

Just not right now.

 The Braves opener in the Selig Season has been rained out. It’s been announced that the rain-out will be made up Saturday at 7:30, following the afternoon Braves-BoSox match-up around 1:00. Our first double-header of the season, I believe.  Maybe it’ll rain Saturday and we can work in 3 games on Sunday. We’ve got to squeeze in these games, because this is our last visit to Boston this season.

Now back to The Andy Griffin Show already in progress, followed by 2 hours of America’s Funniest Home Videos.